Definitions
In plain terms
It summarizes how tightly the selected inliers hug the line.
Technical
residual_bps_i = 10000×expm1(|log(p_i)-z_hat_i|); report the median over locked inliers.
Scope
Residual fit quality is not a probability of future price behavior.
Formula
residual_bps = 10000 * expm1(abs(log price residual))r_i^{bps}=10000\,\operatorname{expm1}(|e_i|)| Symbol | Meaning | Unit |
|---|---|---|
e_i | absolute log residual | log-price |
Output unit: basis points
Examples
- A reviewer computes Median Residual BPS on a small deterministic fixture and checks timing, units, and boundary behavior before publication.
Common misconceptions
- Residual fit quality is not a probability of future price behavior.
Concept relationships
Where this concept is used
Tutorials planned
These catalogued topics use this concept, but their complete build has not shipped yet.
- D08-F01-A04 Important
Evidence and governance
- Linear Least Squares Regression NIST/SEMATECH · official standard
Supports: preferred label, short definition, technical definition, formula
Limits: A fitted line remains descriptive and is not evidence of a future price path.
- sklearn.linear_model.RANSACRegressor scikit-learn · first party technical publication
Supports: preferred label, short definition, technical definition, formula
Limits: This package enumerates every two-point hypothesis for small pivot sets instead of using random sampling.
- numpy.log NumPy · first party technical publication
Supports: preferred label, short definition, technical definition, formula
Limits: A log transform requires positive finite prices and does not by itself define a financial level.
- numpy.polyfit NumPy · first party technical publication
Supports: preferred label, short definition, technical definition, formula
Limits: The glossary freezes its own log-space OLS contract, diagnostics, and tie rules.
- Reviewed by
- fintech-builder-batch-011
- Last reviewed
- 2026-08-09
- Next review
- 2027-08-09
- Record status
- evidence reviewed
This record is evidence-reviewed and readable, but not yet promoted to published — it is served noindex,follow and excluded from the sitemap.
