D40-F05-A05 · GUIDED LEARNING LAB · SYNTHETIC DATA

Reliability Diagram and Expected Calibration Error

Regroup the same probability/outcome pairs and observe that ECE changes with the declared binning convention.

Teaching stage

Reliability Diagram and Expected Calibration Error teaching stageTopic-specific metric geometry calculated from synthetic teaching data.

Choose → step → observe → explain → compare

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    Do not concludeThis synthetic lab validates metric mechanics, not production fitness, fairness, compliance, causation, or policy approval.

    Compact evidence trace

    Only the rows needed to explain this state are shown; the canonical implementation remains the source of truth. Accessibility QA can force deterministic reduced motion with ?reduced-motion=1.

    EvidenceCurrent valueWhy it matters