[
  {
    "name": "Canonical driver",
    "description": "Synthetic canonical driver sweep; only declared fields change while the topic contract remains fixed.",
    "canonical_step": 30,
    "summary": {
      "focus_step": 30,
      "focus_kind": "canonical-fixture",
      "canonical_output_match": true,
      "state_counts": {
        "published-score-replication": 61
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      "value_min": 0.000145885878,
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      "segments": [
        {
          "start_step": 0,
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          "decision": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.833%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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          "failure_log_odds": -8.359713333333,
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 54,
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.022%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "nimtaavg": 0.065,
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          "log_price": 2.3
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        "output": {
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
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      {
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.020%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "nimtaavg": 0.068333333333,
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        "output": {
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      {
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.018%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "nimtaavg": 0.075,
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.017%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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        "output": {
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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          "log_price": 2.3
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  {
    "name": "Adverse shift",
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    "summary": {
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      "focus_kind": "comparison",
      "canonical_output_match": false,
      "state_counts": {
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          "start_step": 0,
          "end_step": 60,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "decision": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
        "step": 9,
        "value": 0.000669158649,
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.067%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.069%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.3483,
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
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        "value_label": "0.179%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.179%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "exretavg": -0.04,
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          "log_price": 2.3
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        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
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            "cashmta": -0.17056,
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          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.32234,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
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        "value": 0.001839573978,
        "value_label": "0.184%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.184%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.98,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
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          "log_price": 2.3
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        "output": {
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          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.29638,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 49,
        "value": 0.001887863245,
        "value_label": "0.189%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.189%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
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          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.27042,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 50,
        "value": 0.001937417658,
        "value_label": "0.194%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.194%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 1.016666666667,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
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          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
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          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.24446,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 51,
        "value": 0.00198827023,
        "value_label": "0.199%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.199%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 1.035,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
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          "log_price": 2.3
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        "output": {
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.2185,
          "distress_probability": 0.00198827023,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 52,
        "value": 0.002040454831,
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
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        "output": {
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.19254,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      {
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.215%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "tlmta": 1.09,
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.14062,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.221%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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        "output": {
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
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        "value_label": "0.226%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.226%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 1.126666666667,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
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          "log_price": 2.3
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        "output": {
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.232%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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        "value_label": "0.238%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.238%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.03678,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
        "step": 59,
        "value": 0.002446078681,
        "value_label": "0.245%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.245%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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          "tlmta": 1.181666666667,
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          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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        "value": 0.002510248806,
        "value_label": "0.251%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.251%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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          "tlmta": 1.2,
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        "output": {
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    ]
  },
  {
    "name": "Protective shift",
    "description": "Synthetic protective shift sweep; only declared fields change while the topic contract remains fixed.",
    "canonical_step": 30,
    "summary": {
      "focus_step": 30,
      "focus_kind": "comparison",
      "canonical_output_match": false,
      "state_counts": {
        "published-score-replication": 61
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      "value_min": 0.000285595057,
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      "segments": [
        {
          "start_step": 0,
          "end_step": 60,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "decision": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
          "start_value_label": "0.492%",
          "end_value_label": "0.029%"
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      ]
    },
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.492%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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        "output": {
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
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        "output": {
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      {
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
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        "output": {
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.427%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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      {
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      {
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
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    "name": "Threshold or boundary",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.234%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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          "log_price": 2.3
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        "output": {
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.053606666667,
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
        "step": 51,
        "value": 0.002406270669,
        "value_label": "0.241%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.241%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 1.032,
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          "log_price": 2.3
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        "output": {
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.027268,
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.247%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.260%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      {
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.305%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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  },
  {
    "name": "Sensitivity",
    "description": "Synthetic sensitivity sweep; only declared fields change while the topic contract remains fixed.",
    "canonical_step": 30,
    "summary": {
      "focus_step": 30,
      "focus_kind": "comparison",
      "canonical_output_match": false,
      "state_counts": {
        "published-score-replication": 61
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      "value_min": 0.000559235776,
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        {
          "start_step": 0,
          "end_step": 60,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "decision": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
          "start_value_label": "0.131%",
          "end_value_label": "0.056%"
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      ]
    },
    "states": [
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        "output": {
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      },
      {
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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        "output": {
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "value": 0.001221264261,
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.122%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      {
        "step": 6,
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.120%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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        "output": {
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    "name": "Scale or horizon",
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    "summary": {
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      "focus_kind": "comparison",
      "canonical_output_match": false,
      "state_counts": {
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "decision": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
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        "value_label": "0.164%",
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.164%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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      {
        "step": 54,
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        "value_label": "0.166%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.166%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -8.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 7.22,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.3825,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.5415,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.39964,
          "distress_probability": 0.001659397365,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 55,
        "value": 0.001675628377,
        "value_label": "0.168%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.168%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -8.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 7.35,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.3825,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.55125,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.38989,
          "distress_probability": 0.001675628377,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 56,
        "value": 0.001692017879,
        "value_label": "0.169%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.169%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -8.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 7.48,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.3825,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.561,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.38014,
          "distress_probability": 0.001692017879,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 57,
        "value": 0.001708567415,
        "value_label": "0.171%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.171%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -8.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 7.61,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.3825,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.57075,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.37039,
          "distress_probability": 0.001708567415,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 58,
        "value": 0.001725278541,
        "value_label": "0.173%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.173%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -8.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 7.74,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.3825,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.5805,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.36064,
          "distress_probability": 0.001725278541,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 59,
        "value": 0.00174215283,
        "value_label": "0.174%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.174%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -8.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 7.87,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.3825,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.59025,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.35089,
          "distress_probability": 0.00174215283,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 60,
        "value": 0.001759191868,
        "value_label": "0.176%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.176%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -8.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 8.0,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
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            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.3825,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.6,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.34114,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "name": "Failure/comparison",
    "description": "Synthetic failure/comparison sweep; only declared fields change while the topic contract remains fixed.",
    "canonical_step": 30,
    "summary": {
      "focus_step": 30,
      "focus_kind": "canonical-fixture",
      "canonical_output_match": true,
      "state_counts": {
        "published-score-replication": 61
      },
      "value_min": 0.000903220698,
      "value_max": 0.001353590608,
      "segments": [
        {
          "start_step": 0,
          "end_step": 60,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "decision": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
          "start_value_label": "0.135%",
          "end_value_label": "0.090%"
        }
      ]
    },
    "states": [
      {
        "step": 0,
        "value": 0.001353590608,
        "value_label": "0.135%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.135%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -13.0,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
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            "rsize": 0.585,
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            "market_to_book": 0.135,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.60364,
          "distress_probability": 0.001353590608,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 1,
        "value": 0.001344496882,
        "value_label": "0.134%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.134%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -12.85,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
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            "rsize": 0.57825,
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          "failure_log_odds": -6.61039,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
        "step": 2,
        "value": 0.001335464167,
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.134%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -12.7,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
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      },
      {
        "step": 3,
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        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.133%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -12.55,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
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          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.62389,
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          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 4,
        "value": 0.001317580144,
        "value_label": "0.132%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.132%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
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          "tlmta": 0.62,
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          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
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          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.63064,
          "distress_probability": 0.001317580144,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 5,
        "value": 0.001308728027,
        "value_label": "0.131%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.131%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -12.25,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
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            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.135,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.63739,
          "distress_probability": 0.001308728027,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 6,
        "value": 0.001299935305,
        "value_label": "0.130%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.130%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -12.1,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
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            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.5445,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.135,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.64414,
          "distress_probability": 0.001299935305,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 7,
        "value": 0.001291201581,
        "value_label": "0.129%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.129%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -11.95,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
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            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.53775,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.135,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.65089,
          "distress_probability": 0.001291201581,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 8,
        "value": 0.00128252646,
        "value_label": "0.128%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.128%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -11.8,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.531,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.135,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.65764,
          "distress_probability": 0.00128252646,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 9,
        "value": 0.001273909549,
        "value_label": "0.127%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.127%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -11.65,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.52425,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.135,
            "log_price": -0.1334
          },
          "failure_log_odds": -6.66439,
          "distress_probability": 0.001273909549,
          "state": "published-score-replication",
          "reason": "chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients"
        }
      },
      {
        "step": 10,
        "value": 0.00126535046,
        "value_label": "0.127%",
        "state": "published-score-replication",
        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.127%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
        "input": {
          "nimtaavg": -0.015,
          "tlmta": 0.62,
          "exretavg": -0.04,
          "sigma": 0.48,
          "rsize": -11.5,
          "cashmta": 0.08,
          "market_to_book": 1.8,
          "log_price": 2.3
        },
        "output": {
          "published_intercept": -9.164,
          "score_contributions": {
            "nimtaavg": 0.30396,
            "tlmta": 0.87792,
            "exretavg": 0.28516,
            "sigma": 0.67728,
            "rsize": 0.5175,
            "cashmta": -0.17056,
            "market_to_book": 0.135,
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          },
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        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.113%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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        "diagnostic": "published-score-replication: chs-table-4-twelve-month-lag-coefficients",
        "guidance": "Inspect the intermediate components before interpreting 0.112%; definition, horizon, clocks, and calibration remain part of the output.",
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