D18-F04-A12 · QUALITY & DISTRESS · SYNTHETIC DATA
Dechow-Dichev Accrual Quality
Change one synthetic accounting driver, watch rolling past/current/future CFO window, fitted accrual, residual, and dispersion recompute, and explain the result without crossing the minimum sample and future-CFO availability gates.
The learning loop
1 · PredictName the direction before moving a driver.
2 · InspectFind the ratio, signal, contribution, or residual that changed.
3 · ReconcileTie the components to the raw score or model residual.
4 · BoundInterpret the screen without turning it into a finding.
Make a prediction before stepping
Base → current bridge
Scenario base
Current state
Headline delta
Keyboard: Left/Right step, Home resets, and Space plays or pauses when focus is outside a form control.
Current model output
Frozen equation
WCA_t = β0 + β1 CFO_t-1 + β2 CFO_t + β3 CFO_t+1 + ε_t; AQ = sqrt(sum(ε²)/(n-k))
Component and diagnostic ledger
Changed cards are purple. Start here before interpreting the headline.
Response across 61 states
Interpretation gate
Boundary: the minimum sample and future-CFO availability gates
Visible intermediate: rolling past/current/future CFO window, fitted accrual, residual, and dispersion
Open exact point-in-time input and structured output
Input
Output
Synthetic teaching data only. A model score or residual is a historically specified screen—not an audit conclusion, rating, fraud finding, default forecast, or investment recommendation.