D17-F05-A08 · SYNTHETIC TEACHING DATA

Adaptive-Markets Predictability Stability Test

Check whether a predeclared lag-return relationship changes across a fixed split, while distinguishing instability from proof of a market theory.

Experiment

Predeclared split index

Teaching stage

Swipe the chart and evidence table horizontally to inspect the full labels. Keyboard users can focus each region and use the arrow keys.

Choose → step → observe → explain → compare

Inspect the calculation

Observation	Input / intermediate	Derived evidence

All displayed values are calculated from the selected synthetic input. Decimal returns use 0.01 for 1%. A statistical result applies only to its declared hypothesis and sample.