D17-F05-A07 · SYNTHETIC TEACHING DATA

Extrapolative-Expectations Proxy Construction

Build an explicit recent-return extrapolation proxy and identify what additional evidence would be needed to call it investor expectations.

Experiment

Memory persistence rho

Teaching stage

Swipe the chart and evidence table horizontally to inspect the full labels. Keyboard users can focus each region and use the arrow keys.

Choose → step → observe → explain → compare

Inspect the calculation

Observation	Input / intermediate	Derived evidence

All displayed values are calculated from the selected synthetic input. Decimal returns use 0.01 for 1%. A statistical result applies only to its declared hypothesis and sample.