THE FINTECH BUILDER · SYNTHETIC LEARNING LAB

HAR-RV

Watch one elevated session enter and leave three overlapping horizons.

0.45
0.35
0.15

Keyboard: Tab to a control; native arrow keys change sliders. Alt + Right steps, Alt + Left goes back. Reduced-motion Play advances one state only.

  1. 1. Observe RV through current session
  2. 2. Build 1 / 5 / 22 session features
  3. 3. Multiply by supplied coefficients
  4. 4. Forecast next session; flag negative raw value

Calculated history

Calculated stateValues from the current input prefix, not a decorative trace.
● Selected experiment┄ Canonical parameters / same cutoff

Result and diagnostics

forecast_(t+1)=b0+bd RV_t+bw mean(RV_(t-4):RV_t)+bm mean(RV_(t-21):RV_t)

Calculation trace

Exact current output (JSON)


Input audit
Only the shown information prefix is supplied to the calculation. Synthetic fixture; no live market data or fitted performance claim.
Exact input supplied to the reference engine