THE FINTECH BUILDER · SYNTHETIC LEARNING LAB
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Keep retained fractional weights and omitted backcast mass separate.
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- 1. δ1 = d
- 2. Recur unnormalized fractional weights
- 3. Weight newest through oldest shocks
- 4. Assign unused mass to backcast
Calculated history
● Selected experiment┄ Canonical parameters / same cutoff
Result and diagnostics
delta_1=d; delta_j=(j-1-d)delta_(j-1)/j; h_t=omega+sum_(j<=min(t,m)) delta_j epsilon_(t-j)²+(1-sum_used delta) backcast
Calculation trace
Exact current output (JSON)
Input audit
Only the shown information prefix is supplied to the calculation. Synthetic fixture; no live market data or fitted performance claim.