D07-F01-A16 · LEVEL 2 GUIDED LAB · SYNTHETIC DATA

Least-Squares Moving Average (LSMA)

Where does the endpoint of a rolling least-squares trend line sit? Walk the evidence clock one stage at a time. This lab teaches the publication contract; it does not simulate returns, platform parity, or trade performance.

Selected expression

fit P_(t-n+1+i)=a+b i by OLS; LSMA_t=a+b(n-1)

Availability rule

An output at t may use only finite, basis-consistent observations available through t; chart alignment never moves the information clock backward.

calculated · step 1 of 7

Verified synthetic fixture

This lab is paired with datasets/implementation-fixtures.json: 96 deterministic, oldest-to-newest observations spanning oscillating, rising, and moderating regimes. It is teaching data—not market history or predictive evidence.

Canonical latest output (D07-F01-A16)
{
  "value": 101.85696110114286
}

Executable checks cover this result, flat/zero-volume boundaries, invalid timestamps, and prefix causality in both language entry points.